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Chapter 1.
Supersize Part 1:  Connecting the CO2 dots,
Discovering supersized coal burning power plants.

Supersized coal burning power plants are the low hanging fruit.

 

Part  1    Supersized.  A supersized problem.  Super easy to fix.  16 times larger than average coal power plants.
 


 

 

Low hanging fruit:  Repowering the world's largest coal burning power plants.

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Part  1:  Connecting the CO2 dots.  A supersized problem.  16 times larger than average coal power plants, making 30% of all Global Warming.

Connecting the CO2 dots, finding Supersized power plants.

Supersizers are now making 30% of all Global Warming.

At a supersize power plant.    Coal: The big challenge for US CO2 emissions 
November 3, 2009 1:08pm
by Sheila McNulty - - From Financial Times Article.

"At NRG Energy’s coal-fired electricity plant in Thompsons, Texas, a train from the Powder River Basin coal mines of Wyoming pulls in after a five-day trip from Wyoming, loaded with more than 16,000 tons of coal. It takes eight hours to unload the 130-car train, and then the next train pulls in.

This plant burns 35,000 tons of coal on a hot day to provide electricity to cool area homes. And bulldozers must constantly shift the coal stockpiled in a giant mound under the hot, noonday sun to prevent spontaneous combustion as it awaits its turn in the 2,200°F furnace. Yet burning the coal to make electricity, transporting it 1,500 miles to the power plant and keeping it cool emits enormous amounts of carbon dioxide.

The US government estimates CO2 emissions from coal-fired electricity generation comprise nearly 80 per cent of total CO2 emissions produced by the generation of electricity in the US. Sixty to 80 per cent of coal is, in fact, carbon, making it an extremely carbon-intense fossil fuel. The Environmental Protection Agency has estimated the average US coal plant emits 5 million tons of CO2 each year. And there are 600 coal-fired electricity plants across the country."

Where you can find out about the world's power plants and the Global Warming they make.

The world's power plant population count is 150,000 generating units at 65,000 power plant sites in 225+ countries.  (Platts, below.)  About 30,000 are fossil fuel.
Platts 65,000 gives many technical and administrative details about the world's power plants but does not provide Global Warming emissions information.

http://www.platts.com/Products.aspx?xmlFile=worldelectricpowerplantsdatabase.xml

  Data from CARMA   ( www.CARMA.org )

CARMA asked their logo and link be inserted, something I'm delighted to do.

The web site, CARMA, offers an on-line a database providing Global Warming emissions information about the world's power plants.  Offered as a means of enabling people to check on the CO2 emissions of their local power plants, the author used Microsoft's "Excel" to sort and plot all the world's power plants by their CO2 emissions.                CARMA Groups Minimum Master .xls   (54,000 power plants, 8.3 meg.)

The Excel plot of the world's largest 32,000 power plants [Excel can only plot 32,000 data entries at a time] is at right with the red line being power plants sorted by annual CO2 emissions.  The author expected a normal CO2 emission distribution - values clustered toward the black line instead of the red line being crammed against the x and y axes.  

Instead, the the world's power plant population (plot right) is an extreme example of the Pareto statistical principle  (Teaching example: 20% of the population own 80% of the land.)    (More:) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_principle 

This is extreme beyond even normal distributions that include a few giants.  In oil, for example, out of the world's 500 major oil fields, the top 20 fields (4%) produce only 25% of the world's total. 

Of these power plants, The CARMA database indicated that 1,200 power plant sites are emitting about 3/4 of coal's Global Warming CO2.  A power plant typically has 4 generating units with the largest having perhaps 8 units.  This means less than 10,000 generating units are causing about 3/4 of coal's CO2

Looking at CARMA's data in more detail we find that only about half of the 150,000 generating units are emitting carbon dioxide.  The other half are small hydro and wind generators which tend to be small, 1 megaWatt or so, and produce no Global Warming CO2, while a few of the CO2 emitters tend to be extremely large coal burners, some as large as 750 megaWatts.  In fact, just the world's 50 largest power plants make almost 10% of coal's Global Warming CO2.

Knowing that the IPCC AR4 report attributed 11.7 billion short tons of CO2 to coal, and that CARMA attributed 11.4 billion short tons of CO2 to the world's 60,000 power plants, (most fossil fuel power plants burn coal), a check was made on how many power plants contributed 75% (8.6 billion short tons) of coal's 11.4 billion short tons of CO2.

That surprisingly small number was close to 1,200 or just 2% of the world's entire 65,000 power plant population.  About half of the power plant population are tiny diesels or zero CO2 emitting hydro or wind farms - insignificant or zero CO2 sources.

Since IPCC AR4 states that 2007 Global Warming CO2 was 13.2 billion short tons, the top 1,200 emitters, according to CARMA, produced 8.6 billion short tons of CO2, or slightly over 3/4 of coal's Global Warming CO2. 

 

Sizing up supersized coal burning power plants
 

The world began to move toward a Global Warming-free future when the world began to build supersized nuclear electricity power plants.  Tragically, anti-nuclear environmentalist organizations such as Sierra Club persuaded the world to build supersized coal-burning power plants instead.  Supersized coal-burning power plants, now producing 3/4 of coal's CO2 in our air, led to much greater production of Global Warming CO2 than was necessary, exacerbating the Climate Change emergency now overwhelming us. 

Just as these power plants supersized Global Warming, repowering them with next-generation nuclear boilers will supersize our impact on Global Warming.  Replacing a coal burning boiler with a nuclear boiler stops coal burning immediately - at 10% to 20% the cost and time of building new.

16 Times Larger:   Describing the 1,200 Supersize Power Plants by their CO2 Emissions.

 

(Right)  The 1,200 supersized power plants compared with regular sized power plants.  2% of the world's 65,000 power plants are making over 3/4 of coal's Global Warming.
 

                                                        Largest              Average             Smallest
Supersize power plant CO2:       41,000,000 tons,   7,200,000 tons,   2,600,000 tons.
Regular Size power plant CO
2:     2,600,000 tons,      440,000 tons,       25,000 tons.

The average supersized coal burning power plant produces 7.2 million tons of CO2 per year.

The average regular sized coal burning power plant produces 440 thousand tons of CO2 per year.

The average supersized is 16 times larger than the average regular sized power plant.

Cost to nuke isn't much larger for a supersized power plant than a regular sized plant.

From the International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) point of view, small size reactors are defined as < 300 MWe and medium size reactors are defined as being between 300 MWe and 700 MWe.  Since large reactors can exceed 2,000 MWe, this puts the BN-800 at the small end of large.

How many of the 1,200 supersizers are on navigable water?

Be warned.  CARMA's Asian coordinates can be off by miles. 
Best way to find a supersized power plant: Google Earth to the CARMA coordinate then cruise around for a river or large body of water to find the power plant.
When sorted by greatest CO
2 emissions, a group of 30 produced 16 plants with coal barges, 14 without.
When sorted by ascending sorted random numbers, a group of 22 produced 12 plants with coal barges, 10 without.

About 54% or about 650

A Supersized Power Plant Unit's Relative Electrical (megaWatt) Size.

 

The Energy Information Agency of the United States Department of Energy maintains a wealth of on-line databases.  (Below Right)  United States electricity generators powered by all forms of energy - color-coded to break them out by general fuel types.
 

EIA historical data on about 18,000 U.S. generators to 1/10 megaWatt resolution.  1 megaWatt is about 1,340 horsepower.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/capacity/existingunits2003.xls

The red dots were drawn first, then light green, then light blue, and then finally dark blue.  There are thousands of red dots hidden under the green and light blue dots at the diagram's bottom.

A power plant typically has four generating units.  This scattergram shows the sizes of all United States individual generating units installed since 1890.  Later units installed outside the United States will cluster toward larger.

They thin out noticeably above 300 megawatts so the author arbitrarily decided that individual units larger than this size would be considered "supersized" units.  All nuclears fall into this category.  Note line at 300 MegaWatts electric.

 

 

 

 

 

Taichung, Taiwan, supersized coal power plant.  The world's top Global Warming CO2 producer.

Checking out the largest supersized CO2 emitter in CARMA's database, Taichung, turned up an 8-unit plant with four 500 MegaWatt electrical and four 550 MWe boilers.  Taichung is a supersized power plant with eight supersized boilers.

Conclusion: Based on the scatter plot above, if we are to mass-produce only one size nuclear boiler to keep the cost low, the 880 MWe BN-800 nuclear boiler is none too big.  Oversize can be limited to the basic tub.  Different sized right-sized steam generators, pumps, etc., shouldn't run the cost up.

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